Ethereum (ETH) is gaining traction once again, with some analysts forecasting a bold $9,000 target by early 2026. This surge in optimism stems from a mix of onchain strength, technical indicators, and a tightening supply picture that supports a strong bull case for the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.

Ethereum’s Technical Setup Suggests More Upside

After gaining 50% in just two weeks, Ethereum recently reclaimed the $3,700 level. Yet, it still trades nearly 23% below its all-time high. Technical analysts believe the market may be preparing for its next major breakout.

One popular model, Elliott Wave analysis, suggests that ETH is currently in the third wave of a five-part bullish cycle. If this pattern holds, Ethereum could reach $9,000 by early 2026, assuming favorable macroeconomic conditions. This phase typically represents the strongest upward movement in the cycle.

Onchain Data: Supply is Tightening

The onchain fundamentals back up this bullish narrative. Over 34 million ETH is staked, removing nearly 28% of the total supply from circulation. This signals strong conviction from long-term holders and reduces selling pressure.

Additionally, exchange balances have dropped to their lowest level since 2016, currently sitting at just 16.2 million ETH. A decline in available supply on trading platforms tends to fuel upward momentum when demand increases.

New buyer inflows are accelerating, with a 16% rise in ETH held by first-time investors since early July.

Network Demand Remains High

Despite reduced gas fees, Ethereum’s network usage is near full capacity. This reflects not a drop in activity, but increased efficiency—especially due to the adoption of Layer 2 scaling solutions. While average fees are low in ETH terms, total gas usage remains elevated, confirming consistent demand for block space.

Spot Ether ETFs are also drawing attention. Over $4 billion in inflows were recorded in the past two weeks alone, indicating growing institutional interest.

Conclusion: Is $9,000 Realistic?

Ethereum’s bullish setup appears to be fundamentally supported, not just speculative. With tighter supply, rising demand, and strong technical patterns, the path to $9,000 is increasingly plausible—though it will require continued momentum and broader market support.

With nearly all ETH holders now in profit, but sentiment still below euphoric levels, the current rally may just be getting started.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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