Weak Year-End Crypto Performance Raises Questions About Market Reset

Bitcoin and ether closed December without the traditional year-end “Santa rally”, ending the fourth quarter with sharp losses and highlighting ongoing fragility in the crypto market. As liquidity thinned and investor risk appetite weakened, the expected seasonal bounce failed to materialize, shifting attention to whether key support levels can hold into the new year.

Market data shows bitcoin declined roughly 22% in December, marking its weakest December performance since 2018. Ether fared worse on a quarterly basis, finishing Q4 down more than 28%. Multiple attempts by bitcoin to reclaim critical price levels were met with selling pressure, while ether and other large-cap tokens followed the downward trend.

(Coinglass)
(Coinglass)

A Santa rally typically benefits from thin holiday liquidity, portfolio rebalancing, and positive sentiment, but this year December resembled a positioning reset rather than the start of a new uptrend. The quarter ultimately reflected a risk-off environment rather than renewed momentum.

Crypto Underperforms Traditional Safe Havens

The contrast with traditional assets has been notable. Gold and other precious metals reached new highs, supported by central bank demand, geopolitical uncertainty, and expectations of rate cuts. Bitcoin, however, continued to behave like a high-volatility risk asset, struggling to sustain gains without broader investor confidence.

The immediate focus is whether bitcoin can defend its current support zones. A failure to do so may suggest that the market requires a deeper corrective phase before the next sustained rally can emerge.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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